By Patrick Jones
For several years, the greater Tri-City economy has been firing on most cylinders. Median household income has climbed 11 percent in the past five years. Local income is, and has been, higher than the U.S. median for several years, unique among Eastern Washington metros.
Wages, as measured
by the annual average, have gone up 14 percent over the same period. The two
counties employed nearly 15,000 more in 2018 than in 2014. What’s not to like?
Well, maybe trying
to see a doctor. Unlike the economy, the health care sector cannot boast of
high performance in securing access to a medical provider. Consider
Benton-Franklin Trends data on the share of adult population with a primary
care provider. In 2018, that share stood at 71 percent. This was below the Washington
state rate of 75 percent. Over time, the rate in the two counties has typically
been below that of the state. And noteworthy is that the share has actually
declined since 2012.
A hallmark of
health care reform is to provide a “medical home” for patients, anchored by a
primary care provider. In 2018, this home didn’t exist for nearly 30 percent of
local residents. Where might these patients receive care? A common “solution”
is the emergency departments of hospitals. Another, with various providers at an
outpatient facility. Yet another, not seeing any providers at all.
How might we unpack
this trend? Access to services depends on many factors. An obvious one is the
ability to pay for services, usually through health insurance. How do residents
of the greater Tri-Cities fare on insurance?
As Trends data
reveals, not so well. After some improvement after the implementation of the
Affordable Care Act, the number of residents without health insurance has risen
by over 7,000 in the last three years. Or, the rate of those without insurance
has gone up from 8.4 percent in 2016 to 10.5 percent in 2018. As the data
shows, the steepness of this increase
runs counter to experiences of the state and the U.S. Both have witnessed only
a slight increase. The rate in the two counties now stands at four percentage
points higher than Washington’s, and 1.5 points higher than the nation’s.
Why this rise? As
the data shows, the experience here isn’t too different from that of the state
or county. It’s just more pronounced. One likely cause is the repeal of
individual mandate. Another is the diminished funding for outreach. In the end,
it is hard to have a primary care provider if one doesn’t have insurance.
affects demand for medical services. The number of doctors (and more generally
of all patient-focused occupations) affects the supply of services. Trends data
shows a gain of 28 physicians in the past five years in the two counties.
That’s 5 percent and it may seem like a lot, but it is well below the population
growth of for those five years, 8 percent.
As a result,
“physician density” in the two counties remains low. The current ratio of
physicians per 1,000 residents, 1.9, is
less than half of state average! And the comparison to Washington has actually
gotten worse over time.
Why might this have
happened? One reason is obvious – the greater Tri-Cities has gained quite a few
new residents. The population’s five-year compounded annual growth rate stands
at 1.7 percent. Franklin and Benton counties rank fourth and seventh,
respectively, among all Washington counties for population growth. The more
people, the greater need for providers.
The second reason
lies in the tight spigot of Washington-trained doctors (as well as nurses and
other primary care providers). The number of graduates at the University of
Washington stood at 222 in 2018, a number unchanged for several years. Yakima’s
Pacific Northwest University has helped fill the gap, with 137 graduates in
2018, nearly double from 2015.
There is even more change
on the horizon for physicians. The Elson Floyd School of Medicine at Washington
State University should graduate its first cohort in 2021, numbering 60, and
will grow to 80. Both PNWU and WSU are likely to yield a high percentage of
students who will stay in the state and for that matter the eastern side.
What are the
consequences of constrained access to care? One lies in hospitals finance. Per
Washington state law, hospital must accept any patient who shows up at their
doors, regardless of their ability to pay. Uncompensated care from these
patients is known as charity care. This type of care among the four hospitals
in the two counties nearly doubled between 2015 and 2018, from $22.7 million to
is that overall health suffers. As
Trends data reveals, suicides, both levels and rates, have climbed over the
same interval. So have adult obesity and youth obesity rates.
A robust economy,
for sure. But there’s much work to be done in providing access to all
residents. Should that happen, better outcomes will follow.
Patrick Jones is the executive director for Eastern Washington University’s
Institute for Public Policy & Economic Analysis. Benton-Franklin Trends,
the institute’s project, uses local, state and federal data to measure the
local economic, educational and civic life of Benton and Franklin counties.
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